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Rubio and Vance deadlocked in 2028 primary preview

Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio are separated by just one point in a potential 2028 presidential primary matchup, according to a new Emerson College Polling survey.

The poll shows the two Republicans in a near-dead heat as they position themselves as potential successors in the GOP primary race. Vance and Rubio have emerged as leading figures in Republican politics, and early primary polling often shifts as candidates formally announce and campaigns take shape.

Emerson College’s survey offers one of the first concrete looks at how Republican primary voters view potential 2028 candidates. The one-point gap leaves little daylight between the two, suggesting either could make a serious run at the nomination depending on how the race develops.